Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Chance

  The random deaths of two friends within the past half year has again shown me how much we are in the thrall of Chaos, as if the horrors in daily newspapers weren't enough to convince me.  One friend was killed by a motorist who ran through a red light.  The other was slain by a psychotic with whom he had no connection.  It is one thing to read of Chaos in some distant city or land, another to be shocked by its making off with friends.

  I suppose I should not have been so shocked, for I believe that Chance—all the random and unpredictable things that happen to us—is a major determinant of our lives.  In addition to its downside, Chaos, it has the upside of Fortune.  It's as if we lived in a casino, our fates determined by random turns of cards, wheels and dice, further muddled by the vagaries of other players.  We try to play well in this casino: to recognize and seize an opportunity when Fortune smiles and to diminish Chaos by using caution.  Even for the best players, though, there is a sufficient abundance of the random and unpredictable to seize control.

  My own response to the arbitrariness of Chance has become a curious combination of resignation and hope.  It is reflected by some previous writings in this blog, which I think blend into a more or less coherent philosophy of life. 

  I have become reconciled to Chance's sovereignty [1], which I see stemming from two sources.  On the natural level, it starts with the uncertainty inherent in quantum physics [2] and ascends to such indeterminate phenomena as DNA combination at conception, genomic mutations [3], the weather and earthquakes..  The odds here are pretty much fixed by nature.  On the man-made level, Chance arises from the erratic interactions among all six billion of us: the up- and downsides of competition and markets, the only-downsides of criminal acts and war, and the like.  Here the odds are more malleable because they depend on how we ourselves act—we use our analytical abilities and intuition [4], exercise free will [5] and engage in concerted societal action [6].  I have moments of pure hope, for instance when I see signs of fresh life bubbling up in a new generation, with all the promise of a new start that entails [7].  I perceive hope as the essential ingredient in survival [8] in the face of Chaos.

  At my age, Chaos is more on my mind than Fortune, since the latter has probably blessed me with all that I am likely to get in an already fortunate life.  In an attempt to evade the angst of Chaos, I have lately become less and less an active participant, more and more a removed observer, above all seeking equanimity [9].  It is as if I have at long last tried to withdraw from the casino.

  Voltaire had scathing words for those who reach this state, calling them sapless with ennui.  He assuredly was not one of them, living to a ripe 84—two years older than I am now—and remaining vital and passionately engaged, despite threats of imprisonment, until dying not much before the French Revolution that he helped precipitate. 

  Voltaire undeniably understood Chaos.  He savaged those like his fictional character Dr. Pangloss (modeled after Leibniz), who believe that Chaos doesn't exist in this "best of all possible worlds" and contend that each thing is made for a purpose and therefore necessarily for the best purpose, no randomness involved.  In representing the actual world in Candide, Voltaire has his eponymous hero suffer endless natural calamities—earthquake, fire, shipwreck, etc.—and succumb to multiple acts of human cruelty through the misfortune of being at the wrong places at the wrong times.  Meanwhile, in one scene, he drolly has Pangloss dissuade Candide from trying to save a friend who is drowning in the Lisbon harbor by "proving" that the harbor was formed expressly for that friend to drown in. 

  No, Voltaire didn't Pangloss over natural and man-made Chaos with metaphysical claptrap.  Accepting it, he resolved to live in and improve the real world.  If that was good enough for Voltaire, even as he aged, why not for me?  Instead of surrendering to ennui, losing my sap, shouldn't I still defy Chaos as he did and stay involved?  Excellent questions to ask myself.

  My detachment, however, runs very deep.  For example, take politics.  Man-made Chaos can flow from it, like Vietnam and Iraq.  I used to participate in it more heavily than now, hoping to help suppress such Chaos.  But I can no longer abide the Chaos of the political arena itself—its cacophony, destructiveness and ineffectiveness—so have largely disengaged myself.  As for natural Chaos, one is still more impotent to control it, so "che sarà, sarà" seems appropriate for it too.  I therefore disentangle myself from what Chaos I can, specifically when my ability to control it is minimal to nil.

  But wait before you denounce my being sapless, for I haven't sunk into callousness.  I now focus on small domains that I believe I can influence.  I provide scholarships to a few talented youngsters—fresh life bubbling up—who could not otherwise afford a first-rate education, hoping to help them take advantage of Fortune and minimize Chaos in their lives.  I steer clear of backing party-hack organizations, whose true agenda is obscure to me, instead selecting for support a scattering of political candidates across the country who seem to be both sincere and of my own mind.  I give to charities that are small enough for my contribution to make a difference, especially those that might reduce the effects of Chaos on the unfortunate. 

  In a word, if I have little power to manipulate the full thrust of Chance's torrent, I might be able to help channel some of its isolated rivulets.  That's an expression of resignation, tinged with hope, by a jaded would-be retiree from the casino.